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2024-12-17

Model Predictions

Model Drake Bulldogs Kansas State Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 82.6% 17.4% -
Bradley-Terry 64.6% 35.4% -
Margin 37.1% 62.9% +2.9 (5.9 off)
Pythagorean 56.8% 43.2% -
Efficiency 56.8% 43.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 52.4% 47.6% -
Log Adjusted 51.6% 48.4% -
Points Off/Def 42.3% 57.7% -

Actual: Kansas State Wildcats -3 (70-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Drake Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Stirtz 45 8-13 1-2 5-6 2 4 3 0 3 22 15 +2.0
M. Mascari 45 8-11 8-10 1-2 2 1 0 0 1 25 16 +4.4
D. Abreu 45 3-5 0-2 3-4 5 0 2 1 1 9 11 +3.6
C. Manyawu 35 4-7 0-0 3-4 7 0 3 1 3 11 12 +2.0
I. Jackson 30 0-6 0-1 2-4 8 8 0 0 2 2 10 -1.8
T. Banks 22 1-7 0-1 2-2 6 1 0 0 2 4 2 +5.0
N. Ferguson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Kansas State Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. N'Guessan 40 4-7 0-1 5-7 9 1 1 0 1 13 16 -1.0
C. Hawkins 38 6-9 1-2 3-8 5 5 4 2 2 16 21 +6.4
M. Jones 38 4-10 2-6 2-3 2 4 0 0 2 12 6 +6.5
D. McDaniel 32 4-11 1-5 1-2 3 4 1 0 2 10 5 -7.0
CJ Jones 27 4-6 1-2 0-0 1 3 3 1 1 9 10 +3.0
B. Hausen 22 1-5 1-4 0-0 0 1 2 0 1 3 0 -6.3
D. Castillo 16 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 3 0 0 2 3 2 +1.1
M. Ikegwuruka 10 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 4 4 -2.7
T. Manning 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -5.8

* = starter