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2024-12-14

Model Predictions

Model NC State Wolfpack Kansas Jayhawks Spread Result
Elo 18.9% 81.1% -
Bradley-Terry 12.4% 87.6% -
Margin 4.5% 95.5% +16.9 (1.9 off)
Pythagorean 35.8% 64.2% -
Efficiency 35.8% 64.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.9% 98.1% -
Log Adjusted 1.7% 98.3% -
Points Off/Def 18.1% 81.9% -

Actual: Kansas Jayhawks +15 (75-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. O'Connell 35 1-6 0-3 0-0 2 1 2 0 2 2 -1 -6.7
M. Hill 31 3-11 0-0 4-4 2 2 0 0 3 10 0 -12.8
B. Middlebrooks 31 4-10 0-1 6-10 8 1 2 1 0 14 16 -4.5
B. Huntley-Hatfield 26 5-8 0-0 2-2 3 3 2 0 1 12 11 +7.0
D. Styles 24 3-10 2-5 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 8 1 -4.5
J. Taylor 17 3-6 2-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 8 1 +1.3
D. Parker Jr. 16 0-3 0-1 0-2 4 2 1 1 0 0 5 -13.9
T. Parker 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 +8.1
B. Pass 10 2-3 2-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 6 5 +3.4

Kansas Jayhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Harris Jr. 36 6-11 3-6 0-0 0 5 2 1 3 15 9 +8.3
Z. Mayo 34 9-14 5-9 3-5 3 2 0 0 2 26 15 +9.3
R. Griffen 31 1-6 0-4 0-0 4 3 0 0 2 2 1 +8.3
K.J. Adams Jr. 29 3-4 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 3 2 6 9 +7.5
H. Dickinson 28 9-13 1-3 2-2 14 8 2 1 0 21 33 +8.2
AJ Storr 17 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 1 1 2 2 -3.4
D. Coit 9 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 3 2 +1.5
F. Bidunga 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 0 3 -5.0
Z. Clemence 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -1.4
S. Moore 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter