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2024-12-08

Model Predictions

Model Kansas Jayhawks Missouri Tigers Spread Result
Elo 30.4% 69.6% -
Bradley-Terry 45.3% 54.7% -
Margin 40.4% 59.6% +2.1 (6.9 off)
Pythagorean 44.6% 55.4% -
Efficiency 44.6% 55.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 54.3% 45.7% -
Log Adjusted 54.2% 45.8% -
Points Off/Def 43.8% 56.2% -

Actual: Missouri Tigers +9 (76-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kansas Jayhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Harris Jr. 38 5-14 1-5 2-3 2 5 2 0 3 13 5 -7.2
H. Dickinson 34 8-15 2-4 1-1 14 4 1 4 7 19 20 -9.1
K.J. Adams Jr. 32 3-7 0-0 5-5 4 1 0 0 3 11 6 -6.7
D. Coit 26 5-11 4-7 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 14 7 -1.8
Z. Mayo 26 2-6 0-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 4 4 -3 -16.1
AJ Storr 18 1-7 0-3 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 2 -3 +10.5
R. Griffen 13 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 1 -16.3
F. Bidunga 7 0-1 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 1 0 1 4 -2.2
Z. Clemence 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -1.2
R. Passmore 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -2.0

Missouri Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Robinson II 34 3-7 1-2 4-4 4 3 5 0 2 11 14 +17.7
T. Bates 34 9-15 2-5 9-9 1 1 5 0 4 29 17 +13.3
M. Mitchell 34 4-14 1-4 8-12 4 1 1 3 1 17 11 +16.1
J. Gray 32 2-2 0-0 3-4 10 2 0 0 1 7 16 +13.2
T. Perkins 30 4-10 0-2 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 8 2 +17.2
A. Shaw 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 2 3 +2.6
M. Warrick 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -4.2
M. Allen 5 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -1.9
T. Pierce 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 +2.6
P. Marshall 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 -1.8
T.O. Barrett 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter