🐻⬇️🏀

@
2024-11-12

Model Predictions

Model Michigan State Spartans Kansas Jayhawks Spread Result
Elo 84.9% 15.1% -
Bradley-Terry 60.0% 40.0% -
Margin 48.3% 51.7% +0.4 (7.6 off)
Pythagorean 50.3% 49.7% -
Efficiency 50.3% 49.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 56.9% 43.1% -
Log Adjusted 56.8% 43.2% -
Points Off/Def 48.9% 51.1% -

Actual: Kansas Jayhawks +8 (77-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Fears Jr. * 27 3-8 0-0 3-5 3 6 2 0 2 9 10 -5.6
J. Akins * 26 1-8 0-4 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 2 -6 -2.5
F. Fidler * 24 3-12 1-6 8-8 8 0 0 0 1 15 10 -8.5
S. Zapala * 19 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 4 5 -1.2
X. Booker * 13 0-5 0-4 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 -4 -9.6
J. Kohler 23 5-14 1-5 1-1 10 1 0 1 1 12 9 -7.2
J. Richardson 20 3-5 1-1 1-1 3 2 0 0 0 8 8 +1.8
C. Carr 20 3-5 0-1 2-2 3 0 2 0 0 8 8 +2.1
C. Cooper 16 2-2 0-0 2-3 5 0 1 0 1 6 9 +3.8
T. Holloman 12 2-7 0-3 1-1 2 2 0 0 2 5 0 -0.4

Kansas Jayhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
H. Dickinson * 35 13-21 1-1 1-4 12 1 3 1 1 28 23 +11.3
Z. Mayo * 34 2-8 0-3 2-2 10 7 1 0 2 6 14 +9.0
D. Harris Jr. * 33 2-7 0-3 7-7 3 6 0 0 0 11 13 +14.8
R. Griffen * 32 4-10 2-6 0-2 6 2 0 0 2 10 6 +5.2
K.J. Adams Jr. * 27 1-7 0-0 5-6 3 1 1 3 1 7 7 -
F. Bidunga 12 3-5 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 6 3 -8.1
D. Coit 12 1-4 1-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 3 3 +0.1
AJ Storr 12 2-5 1-3 1-1 2 0 0 0 1 6 2 +7.2
Z. Clemence 2 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
R. Passmore 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 0 -1 -0.1

* = starter