Model Predictions
| Model | Morgan State Bears | Iowa State Cyclones | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.3% | 91.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 6.8% | 93.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.1% | 99.9% | +36.6 | ✓ (9.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 3.2% | 96.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Iowa State Cyclones +27 (99-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Morgan State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Hobbs | 39 | 10-17 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 10 | -21.0 |
| A. Simpkins | 37 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 14 | -23.1 |
| R. Lawson | 27 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -5 | -19.6 |
| J. Martin | 26 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -22.3 |
| D. Akitoby | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -11.4 |
| M. Wade | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -8.7 |
| W. Thomas | 14 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -6 | +2.1 |
| D. Topps | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -1.9 |
| T. Edwards | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -9.7 |
| K. Oliver | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| P. Shirk | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Iowa State Cyclones
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Gilbert | 32 | 8-9 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 18 | +26.7 |
| C. Jones | 30 | 7-15 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 16 | +23.7 |
| T. Lipsey | 28 | 8-9 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 18 | +13.6 |
| M. Momcilovic | 27 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | +17.6 |
| J. Jefferson | 25 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 20 | +20.3 |
| D. Jackson | 23 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 16 | +16.0 |
| N. Heise | 21 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | +3.7 |
| B. Chatfield | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | +0.8 |
* = starter