Model Predictions
| Model | Troy Trojans | Houston Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.5% | 89.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.1% | 98.9% | +24.8 | ✓ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 8.6% | 91.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Cougars +20 (62-42). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Dowd | 29 | 2-8 | 0-6 | 6-7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | -7.9 |
| M. Rigsby | 29 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | -16.1 |
| T. Conerway | 28 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | -11.7 |
| Coo. Campbell | 21 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | -1.9 |
| M. Rigsby Jr. | 21 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -5 | -18.5 |
| J. Fields | 19 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -9.4 |
| V. Valdes | 15 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -12.0 |
| J. Bellamy | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -8.7 |
| K. Kiel | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +8.0 |
| R. Jones | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -0.3 |
| B. Whitaker | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L.J. Cryer | 32 | 8-11 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 16 | +19.7 |
| E. Sharp | 29 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 16 | +26.4 |
| J. Roberts | 27 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 18 | +22.6 |
| T. Arceneaux | 22 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 3 | +8.6 |
| M. Uzan | 21 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +22.8 |
| J. Francis | 19 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | +2.1 |
| M. Wilson | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1.9 |
| J. Tugler | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | +2.8 |
| R. Walker Jr. | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -0.8 |
| M. Miller | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -8.1 |
| K. Jefferson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -8.1 |
| C. Lath | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter