Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | Colorado Buffaloes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.3% | 20.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 57.3% | 42.7% | -1.6 | ✗ (18.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.9% | 31.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Colorado Buffaloes +17 (72-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nique Clifford | 38 | 4-15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | -16.5 |
| Jalen Lake | 33 | 5-11 | 3-5 | 5-5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 16 | -17.5 |
| Ethan Morton | 28 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -12.8 |
| Kyan. Evans | 24 | 4-10 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 | -14.6 |
| Bowen Born | 22 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | -8.1 |
| Kyle Jorgensen | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | -6.6 |
| Rashaan Mbemba | 14 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -2 | -3.8 |
| Jaylen Crocker-Johnson | 13 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -8.1 |
| Keshawn Williams | 9 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -9.1 |
| Nikola Djapa | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -0.5 |
Colorado Buffaloes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hammond III | 32 | 5-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | +10.9 |
| A. Jakimovski | 30 | 4-12 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | +10.4 |
| RJ Smith | 27 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 5 | +28.5 |
| T. Baskin | 23 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 15 | +14.5 |
| B. Dak | 18 | 7-8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 12 | +9.2 |
| E. Malone | 18 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +8.1 |
| A. Diop | 17 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | +11.3 |
| J. Ruffin | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | +5.9 |
| H. Carrington | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +2.0 |
| S. Rancik | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +9.0 |
| F. Kossaras | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.5 |
* = starter