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2024-11-17

Model Predictions

Model Harvard Crimson Colorado Buffaloes Spread Result
Elo 37.5% 62.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 29.3% 70.7% - โœ“
Margin 3.9% 96.1% +17.6 โœ“ (4.4 off)
Pythagorean 42.3% 57.7% - โœ“
Efficiency 43.9% 56.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 16.1% 83.9% - โœ“

Actual: Colorado Buffaloes +22 (88-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chandler Pigge * 30 3-11 0-3 5-8 4 1 1 0 0 11 6 -16.6
Evan Nelson * 28 4-10 3-5 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 11 0 -19.4
Thomas Batties Ii * 27 1-6 0-1 0-0 3 2 4 1 1 2 5 -12.7
Robert Hinton * 26 3-13 0-0 2-2 4 2 1 0 0 8 2 -11.4
Luca Ace-Nasteski * 16 3-4 0-0 0-0 4 4 0 2 0 6 12 +2.3
Dutch Dowdell 22 3-7 2-5 2-2 1 1 0 0 2 10 3 -16.2
Tey Barbour 20 4-7 2-5 0-0 4 2 1 0 1 10 9 +1.6
Xavier Nesbitt 14 2-4 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 5 3 +0.1
Ben Eisendrath 12 1-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 2 0 1 3 4 -8.3
L. Byrne 5 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -2.4

Colorado Buffaloes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Jakimovski * 27 7-14 2-6 4-5 5 1 1 0 0 20 13 +18.3
E. Malone * 21 5-9 0-0 6-6 7 0 0 4 2 16 16 +12.3
T. Baskin * 20 6-8 1-2 0-1 7 1 1 2 0 13 16 +19.7
J. Hammond III * 20 3-9 2-5 0-0 1 4 0 0 1 8 3 +13.4
A. Diop * 19 0-0 0-0 1-2 4 3 1 0 2 1 7 +5.9
RJ Smith 21 1-2 1-2 1-2 3 1 0 0 2 4 4 -1.1
J. Ruffin 19 4-5 2-3 5-5 2 4 1 0 2 15 15 +11.6
S. Rancik 16 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 2 2 -0.6
B. Dak 14 0-5 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 0 0 2 +2.9
F. Kossaras 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 0 3 +5.3
H. Carrington 10 2-2 1-1 4-4 2 0 1 0 1 9 9 +0.6

* = starter