Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Colorado Bears | Colorado Buffaloes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 16.4% | 83.6% | +8.9 | ✓ (6.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.6% | 85.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.9% | 86.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado Buffaloes +2 (90-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Bloch * | 48 | 4-9 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | -0.6 |
| Jaron Rillie * | 47 | 5-13 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 16 | +3.7 |
| Langston Reynolds * | 32 | 6-14 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 2 | -6.9 |
| Isaiah Hawthorne * | 30 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 8 | +1.8 |
| Brock Wisne * | 22 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | +9.5 |
| Marcell McCreary | 31 | 5-12 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 12 | -0.6 |
| Egan Shields | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -6.5 |
| Luca Colceag | 15 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | +2.3 |
| William Humer | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1.0 |
Colorado Buffaloes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Jakimovski * | 38 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | +3.7 |
| J. Ruffin * | 33 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | -7.6 |
| J. Hammond III * | 33 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 8-10 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 11 | -5.0 |
| E. Malone * | 31 | 8-12 | 1-2 | 10-12 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 20 | -0.7 |
| B. Dak * | 15 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | -0.0 |
| A. Diop | 26 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11 | +8.4 |
| T. Baskin | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | +7.7 |
| RJ Smith | 25 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 10 | +0.1 |
| S. Rancik | 13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1 | +5.6 |
| F. Kossaras | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -3.1 |
* = starter