Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Missouri Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.0% | 51.0% | +0.2 | ✗ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Missouri Tigers -3 (77-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kasparas Jakucionis | 37 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 8-8 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 12 | +2.6 |
| Kylan Boswell | 36 | 2-12 | 1-5 | 11-12 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 17 | +0.5 |
| Tre White | 26 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 12 | +0.1 |
| Tomislav Ivisic | 25 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 13 | -6.0 |
| Ben Humrichous | 21 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -4.3 |
| Morez Johnson Jr. | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -0.8 |
| Will Riley | 17 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +4.2 |
| Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn | 14 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | +0.8 |
| Jake Davis | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Carey Booth | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +4.1 |
Missouri Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Perkins | 37 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 8-9 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 18 | +5.7 |
| Mark Mitchell | 33 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 6-12 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 13 | +2.1 |
| Tamar Bates | 33 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 13 | +4.6 |
| Trent Pierce | 18 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +0.9 |
| Jacob Crews | 16 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | +5.8 |
| Anthony Robinson II | 15 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -5.4 |
| Josh Gray | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +4.1 |
| Marcus Allen | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +4.8 |
| Aidan Shaw | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -2.7 |
| Marques Warrick | 8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +1.8 |
| Peyton Marshall | 7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2.0 |
* = starter