Model Predictions
| Model | George Mason Patriots | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.2% | 84.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.1% | 98.9% | +24.9 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 9.4% | 90.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +21 (68-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.
George Mason Patriots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Maddox | 35 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 2 | -3.4 |
| K.D. Johnson | 31 | 2-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | -8.5 |
| Jared Billups | 26 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +0.3 |
| Jalen Haynes | 24 | 9-19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 6 | -6.2 |
| Zach Anderson | 22 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -8.8 |
| Brayden O'Connor | 21 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -4 | -3.6 |
| Giovanni Emejuru | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | -4.0 |
| Woody Newton | 20 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -5.2 |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Flagg | 35 | 7-20 | 2-5 | 8-8 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 18 | +14.2 |
| Tyrese Proctor | 32 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +13.5 |
| Sion James | 31 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | +17.5 |
| Kon Knueppel | 24 | 3-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | +17.8 |
| Khaman Maluach | 24 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 16 | +19.4 |
| Maliq Brown | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | -17.0 |
| Isaiah Evans | 15 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | +3.3 |
| Caleb Foster | 12 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -9.3 |
| Mason Gillis | 11 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +1.8 |
* = starter