Model Predictions
| Model | Auburn Tigers | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.8% | 70.2% | +4.7 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +6 (84-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Kelly * | 37 | 5-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | +2.4 |
| Johni Broome * | 37 | 8-18 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 16 | +4.9 |
| Chad Baker-Mazara * | 30 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 5-5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 13 | +4.2 |
| Denver Jones * | 28 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +8.0 |
| Dylan Cardwell * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -4.3 |
| Chaney Johnson | 22 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | +21.7 |
| Tahaad Pettiford | 18 | 8-15 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 9 | -8.7 |
| Chris Moore | 13 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -11.5 |
| JP Pegues | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.4 |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Flagg * | 38 | 7-18 | 0-4 | 8-12 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 24 | +6.7 |
| Kon Knueppel * | 31 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | +5.8 |
| Tyrese Proctor * | 28 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | +3.0 |
| Sion James * | 23 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 3-6 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 12 | -5.1 |
| Khaman Maluach * | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +5.2 |
| Maliq Brown | 25 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -3.1 |
| Caleb Foster | 20 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | -1.1 |
| Isaiah Evans | 16 | 6-9 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 9 | +7.0 |
| Mason Gillis | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2.1 |
* = starter