Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Arizona Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.9% | 31.1% | -4.4 | ✓ (9.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.1% | 17.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.8% | 18.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arizona Wildcats -14 (55-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Flagg * | 38 | 10-22 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 12 | +12.8 |
| Kon Knueppel * | 35 | 4-11 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | +9.9 |
| Tyrese Proctor * | 34 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | +12.0 |
| Caleb Foster * | 26 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | +3.8 |
| Khaman Maluach * | 16 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | -1.9 |
| Maliq Brown | 24 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 11 | +7.8 |
| Sion James | 20 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | +7.3 |
| Mason Gillis | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +0.7 |
Arizona Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Love * | 38 | 3-13 | 1-9 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 1 | -3.5 |
| Jaden Bradley * | 34 | 8-16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | -9.9 |
| KJ Lewis * | 31 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | -5.1 |
| Trey Townsend * | 27 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -0.6 |
| Motiejus Krivas * | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | +6.7 |
| Carter Bryant | 20 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | -7.2 |
| Henri Veesaar | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -5.5 |
| Tobe Awaka | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -1.3 |
| Anthony Dell'Orso | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.7 |
* = starter