Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Kentucky Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 75.5% | 24.5% | -6.2 | ✗ (11.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.8% | 14.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.8% | 14.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.2% | 35.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +5 (77-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kon Knueppel * | 37 | 5-20 | 1-8 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 2 | -4.0 |
| Tyrese Proctor * | 36 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | -8.0 |
| Cooper Flagg * | 32 | 9-19 | 1-5 | 7-9 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 19 | -6.4 |
| Caleb Foster * | 29 | 2-10 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -6.0 |
| Khaman Maluach * | 23 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 15 | +10.2 |
| Maliq Brown | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | -17.3 |
| Mason Gillis | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2.5 |
| Sion James | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Otega Oweh * | 31 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 14 | +9.8 |
| Andrew Carr * | 30 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 17 | +10.0 |
| Jaxson Robinson * | 27 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +10.9 |
| Lamont Butler * | 24 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | +12.2 |
| Amari Williams * | 20 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | +4.9 |
| Koby Brea | 21 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 11 | +16.7 |
| Brandon Garrison | 18 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | +3.9 |
| Kerr Kriisa | 17 | 2-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -1 | -7.0 |
| Ansley Almonor | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1.0 |
| Collin Chandler | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter