Model Predictions
| Model | Maine Black Bears | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.3% | 94.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.7% | 95.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.1% | 99.9% | +35.9 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 3.2% | 96.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +34 (96-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Maine Black Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Clayton | 30 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 1 | -18.3 |
| Kellen Tynes | 30 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | -17.3 |
| Quion Burns | 27 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | -6.1 |
| Christopher Mantis | 25 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | -13.1 |
| A.J. Lopez | 22 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | -7.2 |
| Logan Carey | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | +2.9 |
| Killian Gribben | 16 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | -23.1 |
| Keelan Steele | 12 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | +4.6 |
| Ridvan Tutic | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.0 |
| Novak Perovic | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1.7 |
| Isaac Bonilla | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.3 |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kon Knueppel | 31 | 8-14 | 3-8 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 14 | +23.8 |
| Cooper Flagg | 30 | 6-15 | 0-4 | 6-6 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 16 | +16.3 |
| Tyrese Proctor | 26 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | +19.1 |
| Maliq Brown | 22 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | +11.8 |
| Caleb Foster | 22 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | +13.8 |
| Sion James | 21 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | -1.9 |
| Mason Gillis | 20 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | +15.2 |
| Khaman Maluach | 18 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 12 | +5.9 |
| Isaiah Evans | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +5.4 |
| Darren Harris | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
* = starter