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2024-12-03

Model Predictions

Model California Golden Bears Missouri Tigers Spread Result
Elo 12.3% 87.7% -
Bradley-Terry 17.4% 82.6% -
Margin 5.0% 95.0% +16.3 (11.3 off)
Pythagorean 32.9% 67.1% -
Efficiency 32.1% 67.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 3.1% 96.9% -
Log Adjusted 2.8% 97.2% -
Points Off/Def 18.2% 81.8% -

Actual: Missouri Tigers +5 (98-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.

California Golden Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Stojakovic * 36 9-13 3-4 5-6 5 3 1 0 2 26 20 +0.6
R. Petraitis * 29 4-7 1-3 8-8 3 5 3 0 4 17 17 -1.4
M. Sissoko * 26 5-9 0-0 0-1 9 0 1 0 0 10 11 +4.8
J. Ola-Joseph * 18 3-5 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 6 2 -10.0
C. Tucker * 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
J. Blacksher Jr. 34 3-12 3-10 4-5 3 8 5 0 1 13 16 +11.5
J. Wilkinson 27 6-12 3-5 4-5 1 1 0 0 3 19 6 +1.5
L. Dort 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 2 2 2 7 -1.7
S. Mahoney 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -0.6

Missouri Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Bates * 29 7-12 1-5 0-0 2 2 3 1 3 15 8 +12.8
A. Robinson II * 28 8-11 0-0 13-15 1 6 2 0 0 29 27 -0.6
M. Mitchell * 24 8-14 1-2 4-8 5 0 1 0 1 21 12 +3.3
J. Gray * 18 1-1 0-0 0-1 5 1 0 1 0 2 8 +4.0
A. Boateng * 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 +2.4
M. Warrick 25 4-5 1-1 3-5 0 0 0 1 2 12 6 +6.9
A. Shaw 18 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 2 0 2 7 -0.4
T. Perkins 17 1-3 0-1 3-5 1 3 1 0 2 5 5 -3.3
P. Marshall 14 3-3 0-0 0-2 3 1 1 0 0 6 8 +2.4
T. Pierce 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +2.3
J. Crews 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -11.6
M. Allen 6 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 2 1 -13.7
T.O. Barrett 4 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 4 2 -0.1

* = starter