Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | California Golden Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.8% | 89.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.5% | 94.5% | +15.6 | ✓ (6.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 17.9% | 82.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.8% | 97.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.7% | 97.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.1% | 80.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: California Golden Bears +9 (78-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Taylor * | 40 | 9-13 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 14 | -7.3 |
| Jeffrey Mills * | 32 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | -5.7 |
| Byron Brown * | 28 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -3.8 |
| Wesley Celichowski * | 28 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | +11.3 |
| Sam Duskin * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.3 |
| Kyle Marshall | 33 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6 | -4.2 |
| Luke Kearney | 20 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 5 | -3.3 |
| Caleb Walker | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -12.5 |
California Golden Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rytis Petraitis * | 36 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 15 | +4.3 |
| Andrej Stojakovic * | 35 | 8-19 | 2-7 | 3-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 8 | +4.2 |
| Christian Tucker * | 34 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Mady Sissoko * | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -3.6 |
| Joshua Ola-Joseph * | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | +1.5 |
| Jeremiah Wilkinson | 26 | 8-12 | 2-3 | 5-7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 14 | +4.2 |
| Lee Dort | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | +9.9 |
| Spencer Mahoney | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -0.8 |
| Devin Curtis | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +2.1 |
* = starter