Model Predictions
| Model | Oregon State Beavers | Saint Mary's Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.7% | 87.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.5% | 88.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.6% | 88.4% | +11.2 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.7% | 89.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.5% | 89.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels +10 (74-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oregon State Beavers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Lelevicius | 33 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 13 | +5.9 |
| D. Minor | 32 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | -2.5 |
| J. Lake | 31 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 15 | +5.1 |
| M. Rataj | 30 | 5-16 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 0 | +5.0 |
| P. Fallah | 27 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | +3.6 |
| I. Sy | 21 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | +0.2 |
| J. Munch | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +7.6 |
| M. Marsh | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -0.8 |
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Marciulionis | 40 | 7-12 | 4-6 | 7-8 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 21 | +0.4 |
| L. Barrett | 40 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 14 | -1.2 |
| M. Saxen | 33 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 15 | -2.9 |
| J. Ross | 25 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | -10.7 |
| P. Murauskas | 23 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | -6.6 |
| H. Wessels | 23 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | +4.0 |
| M. Lewis | 15 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | +6.7 |
| A. Hardaway | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.9 |
| J. Dent | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 |
* = starter