Model Predictions
| Model | San Francisco Dons | Oregon State Beavers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.1% | 30.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.1% | 55.9% | +1.3 | ✗ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Oregon State Beavers -2 (72-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Francisco Dons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Williams | 34 | 7-14 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 11 | +1.0 |
| Malik Thomas | 33 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 4 | -0.3 |
| Tyrone Riley IV | 32 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | +5.2 |
| Junjie Wang | 25 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | -10.3 |
| Ryan Beasley | 20 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Veniamin Abosi | 18 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -1.8 |
| Saba Gigiberia | 17 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 15 | +9.2 |
| Carlton Linguard Jr. | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| James O'Donnell | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | +2.3 |
| Ro. Beasley | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Oregon State Beavers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josiah Lake II | 37 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 14 | +3.4 |
| Michael Rataj | 35 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 2-5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | -1.8 |
| Damarco Minor | 31 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | -6.1 |
| Parsa Fallah | 27 | 11-13 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 17 | +5.0 |
| Liutauras Lelevicius | 23 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | +5.6 |
| Nate Kingz | 23 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | +10.1 |
| Isaiah Sy | 17 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +4.7 |
| Johan Munch | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +4.2 |
| Matthew Marsh | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.8 |
| Maxim Logue | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -7.6 |
* = starter