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2025-02-25

Model Predictions

Model Gonzaga Bulldogs Santa Clara Broncos Spread Result
Elo 69.3% 30.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 65.6% 34.4% - โœ“
Margin 80.3% 19.7% -7.7 โœ“ (11.3 off)
Pythagorean 50.7% 49.3% - โœ“
Efficiency 51.1% 48.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 85.3% 14.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 85.6% 14.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 65.6% 34.4% - โœ“

Actual: Santa Clara Broncos -19 (76-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ryan Nembhard 39 5-11 2-6 0-0 5 15 2 0 4 12 19 +11.2
Nolan Hickman 36 5-11 1-6 0-0 1 4 1 0 1 11 5 +14.6
Khalif Battle 24 8-15 2-4 3-3 5 1 1 0 3 21 10 +2.9
Michael Ajayi 24 1-3 0-1 4-6 8 2 1 0 1 6 13 -3.3
Dusty Stromer 21 1-4 1-4 2-3 1 0 0 1 0 5 3 -4.2
Graham Ike 20 11-13 0-0 2-3 7 0 4 2 2 24 22 -2.9
Ismaila Diagne 18 4-4 0-0 1-1 4 0 1 1 2 9 9 +18.9
Ben Gregg 16 2-3 0-1 3-4 1 0 1 0 0 7 6 +8.4
Braden Huff 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3.3

Santa Clara Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyeree Bryan 32 6-10 4-6 2-4 5 0 1 0 0 18 14 -10.2
Adama Bal 29 3-7 2-5 3-4 0 4 0 0 4 11 4 +8.2
Johnny O'Neil 27 3-9 1-4 0-0 7 1 1 1 2 7 6 -6.6
Carlos Stewart 24 4-7 2-4 4-6 2 1 0 0 3 14 7 +3.9
Elijah Mahi 22 2-4 1-1 4-6 2 0 1 1 1 9 8 -0.3
Camaron Tongue 20 3-8 1-1 4-4 3 1 0 0 3 11 4 -1.9
Brenton Knapper 18 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 0 0 -4.6
Christoph Tilly 14 1-7 0-3 4-4 2 2 1 0 2 6 2 -12.7
Jake Ensminger 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 0 4 +1.7
Bukky Oboye 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.1

* = starter