Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Mary's Gaels | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.0% | 84.0% | +9.1 | ✗ (16.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs -7 (67-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Barrett | 40 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | +11.0 |
| Augustas Marciulionis | 38 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 10 | +12.9 |
| Mitchell Saxen | 33 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 14 | +10.5 |
| Harry Wessels | 29 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +8.0 |
| Jordan Ross | 25 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -2.5 |
| Mikey Lewis | 18 | 5-9 | 5-7 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 9 | +10.4 |
| Paulius Murauskas | 17 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | +1.1 |
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Nembhard | 40 | 4-12 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 7 | -4.2 |
| Nolan Hickman | 30 | 6-12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 6 | +7.9 |
| Khalif Battle | 28 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | -4.4 |
| Graham Ike | 27 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 13 | -10.2 |
| Michael Ajayi | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | -8.6 |
| Ben Gregg | 18 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -6.5 |
| Emmanuel Innocenti | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -6.9 |
| Braden Huff | 11 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | +2.2 |
| Dusty Stromer | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.6 |
| Joe Few | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter