Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Pilots | Saint Mary's Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.6% | 92.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.6% | 96.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.7% | 99.3% | +27.0 | ✓ (14.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 8.1% | 91.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels +13 (79-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vukasin Masic | 39 | 5-12 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 18 | -2.0 |
| Chris Austin | 39 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | -3.0 |
| Austin Rapp | 36 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | -4.7 |
| Max Mackinnon | 34 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 7 | -3.3 |
| Bol Dengdit | 33 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | +2.2 |
| Jermaine Ballisager Webb | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -1.4 |
| Vincent Delano | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +5.2 |
| Mezziah Oakman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.8 |
| Mikah Ballew | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +3.9 |
| Kelson Gebbers | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.9 |
| Coleman Lemke | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.8 |
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paulius Murauskas | 39 | 9-15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 17 | +5.3 |
| Augustas Marciulionis | 36 | 7-16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 14 | +7.9 |
| Luke Barrett | 34 | 3-12 | 0-7 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -1 | +6.1 |
| Mitchell Saxen | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | +1.6 |
| Jordan Ross | 22 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -5.2 |
| Mikey Lewis | 21 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | +3.6 |
| Harry Wessels | 15 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 13 | +2.6 |
| Ashton Hardaway | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1.5 |
| Andrew McKeever | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.9 |
| Kevin Gad | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.9 |
| Joshua Dent | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.9 |
| Cade Bennett | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -3.9 |
* = starter