Model Predictions
| Model | Washington State Cougars | Saint Mary's Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.9% | 93.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.9% | 87.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.8% | 94.2% | +15.4 | ✓ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.7% | 97.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.6% | 97.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.9% | 80.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels +21 (77-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington State Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeJuan Watts | 34 | 8-16 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 1 | -13.9 |
| Ethan Price | 31 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 10 | -10.9 |
| Isaiah Watts | 29 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 11 | -8.4 |
| Dane Erikstrup | 28 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -8.7 |
| Nate Calmese | 26 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | -12.1 |
| Tomas Thrastarson | 22 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3.5 |
| ND Okafor | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -4.7 |
| Rihards Vavers | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +2.2 |
| Parker Gerrits | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1.2 |
| Tayon Sessoms | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.1 |
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Augustas Marciulionis | 36 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 15 | +23.4 |
| Mitchell Saxen | 34 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12 | +12.9 |
| Paulius Murauskas | 31 | 12-19 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 30 | 23 | +15.1 |
| Jordan Ross | 31 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 12 | +6.2 |
| Luke Barrett | 26 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +7.3 |
| Ashton Hardaway | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +8.5 |
| Harry Wessels | 11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | +4.3 |
| Mikey Lewis | 11 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | +2.8 |
| Kevin Gad | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
| Andrew McKeever | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
| Joshua Dent | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
| Cade Bennett | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.0 |
* = starter