Model Predictions
| Model | San Francisco Dons | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.1% | 94.9% | +16.1 | ✓ (5.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.4% | 94.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.1% | 94.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.4% | 80.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +11 (88-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Francisco Dons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Thomas | 37 | 7-17 | 4-8 | 7-9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 8 | -0.8 |
| Tyrone Riley IV | 33 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | -1.5 |
| Marcus Williams | 30 | 2-12 | 1-7 | 4-4 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | +14.1 |
| Ryan Beasley | 26 | 7-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 9 | -13.2 |
| Carlton Linguard Jr. | 23 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 12 | -2.7 |
| Junjie Wang | 21 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -4.1 |
| James O'Donnell | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -2.1 |
| Veniamin Abosi | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +4.7 |
| Jason Rivera-Torres | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -4.6 |
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Nembhard | 40 | 8-15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 15 | +8.6 |
| Nolan Hickman | 34 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | +12.7 |
| Graham Ike | 30 | 8-14 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 15 | +6.7 |
| Michael Ajayi | 29 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 15 | -2.4 |
| Khalif Battle | 22 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 7-7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | -9.0 |
| Emmanuel Innocenti | 21 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +19.2 |
| Ben Gregg | 11 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | +4.9 |
| Braden Huff | 9 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | -5.6 |
| Dusty Stromer | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -6.3 |
* = starter