Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Mary's Gaels | Oregon State Beavers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.5% | 22.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 81.3% | 18.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 73.7% | 26.3% | -5.7 | ✓ (8.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.3% | 16.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.5% | 16.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oregon State Beavers -14 (49-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Barrett | 36 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9 | +10.5 |
| Augustas Marciulionis | 35 | 7-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 27 | +10.4 |
| Mitchell Saxen | 31 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 17 | +8.0 |
| Jordan Ross | 28 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +1.8 |
| Harry Wessels | 24 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 5 | +5.3 |
| Mikey Lewis | 15 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | -0.6 |
| Paulius Murauskas | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2.0 |
| Ashton Hardaway | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -1.6 |
| Andrew McKeever | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.9 |
| Kevin Gad | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Joshua Dent | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.9 |
| Cade Bennett | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.9 |
Oregon State Beavers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josiah Lake II | 30 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | +2.3 |
| Michael Rataj | 30 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | -9.8 |
| Damarco Minor | 29 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -6.2 |
| Nate Kingz | 27 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 | -3.8 |
| Parsa Fallah | 22 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | -8.9 |
| Isaiah Sy | 20 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | +9.7 |
| Liutauras Lelevicius | 20 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -1.0 |
| Matthew Marsh | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | +0.9 |
| Maxim Logue | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +4.1 |
| Johan Munch | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +5.8 |
| Thomas Ndong | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +3.9 |
* = starter