Model Predictions
| Model | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Pacific Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 95.6% | 4.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 93.7% | 6.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 99.3% | 0.7% | -27.6 | ✓ (10.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 80.0% | 20.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 83.0% | 17.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.7% | 3.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.8% | 3.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 91.9% | 8.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Pacific Tigers -17 (61-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Nembhard | 35 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | +19.9 |
| Michael Ajayi | 26 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | +7.7 |
| Nolan Hickman | 26 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12 | +1.4 |
| Emmanuel Innocenti | 25 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +10.6 |
| Khalif Battle | 23 | 3-11 | 1-6 | 9-9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 12 | +4.3 |
| Braden Huff | 21 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 9 | -0.4 |
| Graham Ike | 17 | 6-9 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | +8.7 |
| Ben Gregg | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | -0.3 |
| Dusty Stromer | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.3 |
| Joe Few | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1.3 |
| J. Yeo | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.3 |
Pacific Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Washington | 38 | 9-14 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 16 | -7.9 |
| Elias Ralph | 33 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 5 | -4.2 |
| Elijah Fisher | 28 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | -12.7 |
| Petar Krivokapic | 27 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | -8.1 |
| Burke Smith | 15 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -5.4 |
| Solomon Ominu | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | +6.0 |
| Jazz Gardner | 12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | -7.7 |
| Kris Keinys | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | +19.1 |
| Seth Jones | 10 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -4.2 |
| Jefferson Koulibaly | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -2.1 |
| Carter Benton | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -6.9 |
* = starter