Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Mary's Gaels | San Francisco Dons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 68.2% | 31.8% | -4.2 | ✗ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.5% | 21.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.8% | 21.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Francisco Dons +1 (65-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Barrett | 40 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -11.7 |
| Augustas Marciulionis | 40 | 8-21 | 2-12 | 2-4 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 11 | -6.7 |
| Jordan Ross | 35 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | -6.1 |
| Mitchell Saxen | 34 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 19 | -4.6 |
| Paulius Murauskas | 21 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | -3.5 |
| Ashton Hardaway | 18 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -3.5 |
| Harry Wessels | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -5.1 |
| Mikey Lewis | 6 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -1.3 |
San Francisco Dons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlton Linguard Jr. | 35 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | +10.8 |
| Marcus Williams | 32 | 7-16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 4 | +9.6 |
| Junjie Wang | 30 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +8.9 |
| Tyrone Riley IV | 27 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 14 | +8.1 |
| Malik Thomas | 27 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 3 | +2.6 |
| Ryan Beasley | 25 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | +10.3 |
| Veniamin Abosi | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | +1.7 |
| Jason Rivera-Torres | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -0.8 |
| James O'Donnell | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +4.5 |
* = starter