Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Pilots | Pepperdine Waves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | β |
| Margin | 20.0% | 80.0% | +7.6 | β (27.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | β |
Actual: Pepperdine Waves -20 (64-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Austin | 36 | 7-12 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 11 | +23.2 |
| Austin Rapp | 35 | 4-12 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 8 | +18.7 |
| Max Mackinnon | 33 | 8-11 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 24 | +22.8 |
| Vukasin Masic | 29 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | +28.8 |
| Bol Dengdit | 25 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | +14.7 |
| Vincent Delano | 22 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -8.4 |
| Mikah Ballew | 13 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | +9.3 |
| Todd Jones | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +4.2 |
| Jermaine Ballisager Webb | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.0 |
Pepperdine Waves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaxon Olvera | 29 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | -22.5 |
| Dovydas Butka | 27 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 20 | -11.7 |
| Stefan Todorovic | 27 | 2-13 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -1 | -17.1 |
| D. DoΕΎic | 26 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Moe Odum | 25 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | -10.5 |
| Boubacar Coulibaly | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | +2.4 |
| Zion Bethea | 17 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | -8.9 |
| Taj Au-Duke | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2.5 |
| Mike Saunders Jr. | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -12.3 |
| Kyle Braun | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.0 |
| David Mager | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -7.0 |
| Alex Leiba | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
* = starter