Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Mary's Gaels | Santa Clara Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.7% | 24.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 56.3% | 43.7% | -1.4 | ✓ (11.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.4% | 27.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.6% | 27.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Santa Clara Broncos -13 (54-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Barrett | 36 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 4 | +20.2 |
| Augustas Marciulionis | 35 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | +24.9 |
| Paulius Murauskas | 35 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 13 | +13.3 |
| Jordan Ross | 27 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | +16.4 |
| Mitchell Saxen | 23 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 13 | +22.7 |
| Harry Wessels | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | -12.5 |
| Mikey Lewis | 13 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -4.3 |
| Ashton Hardaway | 10 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6 | -11.6 |
| Joshua Dent | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -9.0 |
| Cade Bennett | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -7.0 |
Santa Clara Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adama Bal | 33 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | -7.5 |
| Carlos Stewart | 32 | 7-13 | 6-8 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 17 | +2.7 |
| Christoph Tilly | 25 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 4 | -7.2 |
| Jake Ensminger | 23 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -2.6 |
| Tyeree Bryan | 22 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | -19.5 |
| Elijah Mahi | 21 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | +6.3 |
| Johnny O'Neil | 18 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -9.2 |
| Camaron Tongue | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +6.2 |
| Brenton Knapper | 8 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | -7.3 |
| Kosy Akametu | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -0.4 |
* = starter