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2025-01-25

Model Predictions

Model San Diego Toreros San Francisco Dons Spread Result
Elo 4.4% 95.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 3.7% 96.3% - โœ“
Margin 2.1% 97.9% +21.2 โœ“ (9.2 off)
Pythagorean 16.4% 83.6% - โœ“
Efficiency 17.2% 82.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 12.7% 87.3% - โœ“

Actual: San Francisco Dons +12 (81-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Diego Toreros

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Steven Jamerson II 29 2-7 0-0 2-4 9 2 2 0 0 6 12 +3.9
Tony Duckett 28 7-16 1-3 2-2 2 2 1 0 1 17 5 -0.4
Deven Dahlke 27 4-8 3-7 0-0 1 2 1 0 3 11 4 -1.8
Kean Webb 25 3-5 0-0 3-3 3 1 0 1 2 9 7 +5.7
Kody Clouet 21 1-9 0-5 3-4 6 2 1 0 3 5 2 +6.7
Santiago Trouet 15 0-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -2.9
Bendji Pierre 14 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -10.4
Dominic Muncey 13 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 +5.8
Joey Chammaa 11 3-5 0-1 6-7 1 1 0 0 0 12 9 -3.6
Colby Brooks 10 2-4 0-0 4-6 4 0 0 0 2 8 6 -13.7
Jackson Gaffney 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.7
Neel Beniwal 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +1.2

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marcus Williams 37 3-7 2-4 0-4 4 4 1 1 3 8 8 +1.4
Tyrone Riley IV 31 4-8 2-3 6-8 4 2 1 0 0 16 15 -5.3
Malik Thomas 29 5-11 1-4 6-7 3 0 2 0 3 17 8 +7.4
Carlton Linguard Jr. 29 5-10 3-7 0-0 8 1 0 2 0 13 14 +5.5
Ryan Beasley 25 5-10 0-3 2-2 4 4 2 0 0 12 12 -
Junjie Wang 13 1-3 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 2 2 +0.2
Karl Poom 11 0-1 0-1 2-2 6 1 0 0 1 2 7 +1.8
James O'Donnell 10 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 1 -3.9
Ro. Beasley 9 1-1 0-0 4-6 1 1 2 0 0 6 9 -
Veniamin Abosi 4 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 1 2 -1.5
Jason Rivera-Torres 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 0 -1 +1.9

* = starter