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2025-01-25

Model Predictions

Model Saint Mary's Gaels Washington State Cougars Spread Result
Elo 87.1% 12.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 79.1% 20.9% - โœ“
Margin 85.6% 14.4% -9.8 โœ“ (4.8 off)
Pythagorean 59.8% 40.2% - โœ“
Efficiency 59.8% 40.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 91.3% 8.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 91.4% 8.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 70.0% 30.0% - โœ“

Actual: Washington State Cougars -5 (75-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Saint Mary's Gaels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paulius Murauskas 38 9-15 3-8 4-4 12 0 1 0 1 25 22 +0.8
Augustas Marciulionis 37 6-11 3-5 2-3 0 7 0 0 4 17 9 -0.1
Mitchell Saxen 34 6-10 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 4 2 12 13 -8.8
Luke Barrett 30 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 2 -6.1
Jordan Ross 28 5-10 0-2 3-3 0 3 0 0 1 13 5 -2.1
Mikey Lewis 16 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 3 1 +3.6
Ashton Hardaway 11 0-0 0-0 4-4 2 0 1 0 1 4 6 +7.1
Harry Wessels 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 2 2 +9.6

Washington State Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ethan Price 36 6-10 4-7 4-4 2 1 0 1 1 20 13 +10.4
Nate Calmese 35 7-13 0-2 2-2 1 3 2 0 5 16 4 -2.2
LeJuan Watts 35 5-11 0-0 4-4 1 6 4 0 2 14 12 +11.0
Dane Erikstrup 33 6-9 1-3 3-3 3 2 1 1 1 16 13 +19.8
Tomas Thrastarson 22 2-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 4 6 +8.7
Rihards Vavers 13 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -19.8
ND Okafor 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 2 0 -12.2
Parker Gerrits 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +7.1
Kase Wynott 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1.2

* = starter