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2025-01-23

Model Predictions

Model San Diego Toreros Portland Pilots Spread Result
Elo 15.3% 84.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 28.2% 71.8% - โœ“
Margin 32.9% 67.1% +3.9 โœ“ (6.1 off)
Pythagorean 44.8% 55.2% - โœ“
Efficiency 46.1% 53.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 42.8% 57.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 43.0% 57.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 40.8% 59.2% - โœ“

Actual: Portland Pilots +10 (92-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Diego Toreros

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tony Duckett 29 5-16 0-1 4-4 3 2 0 1 1 14 3 -10.2
Kody Clouet 25 6-13 4-8 3-3 1 1 1 0 1 19 8 -10.2
Joey Chammaa 23 2-6 0-0 2-2 1 5 1 0 2 6 5 -12.2
Jackson Gaffney 22 1-4 0-1 0-1 2 0 0 1 0 2 1 -9.4
Kean Webb 22 2-3 0-0 2-3 9 0 1 0 3 6 10 -8.1
Steven Jamerson II 20 3-6 0-0 1-2 10 0 1 0 0 7 12 -0.1
Bendji Pierre 17 1-3 1-2 2-2 5 0 4 0 2 5 9 -2.1
Deven Dahlke 15 3-5 3-4 4-4 1 2 0 0 0 13 11 +0.9
Santiago Trouet 15 3-9 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 0 6 2 -0.0
Colby Brooks 5 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 1 -1 -0.0
Dominic Muncey 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -0.0
Neel Beniwal 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 +0.0

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Max Mackinnon 38 9-17 7-9 18-22 7 4 1 0 4 43 34 +10.2
Austin Rapp 35 6-17 3-11 2-2 8 3 1 1 2 17 11 +7.2
Chris Austin 35 5-9 2-3 8-9 5 5 1 0 0 20 22 +9.7
Vincent Delano 32 1-2 1-2 0-0 4 4 2 0 2 3 9 +8.2
Bol Dengdit 24 2-3 0-0 2-2 2 1 1 0 1 6 6 +10.2
Mikah Ballew 15 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 4 1 0 1 0 2 +2.1
Todd Jones 13 1-2 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 2 2 3 6 +0.1
Kelson Gebbers 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 +3.0
Coleman Lemke 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 -0.0

* = starter