Model Predictions
| Model | San Francisco Dons | Saint Mary's Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.6% | 85.4% | +9.7 | ✓ (10.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.5% | 84.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.2% | 84.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels +20 (71-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Francisco Dons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Thomas | 32 | 1-12 | 0-5 | 6-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | +0.5 |
| Tyrone Riley IV | 30 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | +2.7 |
| Marcus Williams | 28 | 5-13 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 8 | +0.5 |
| Ryan Beasley | 27 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Carlton Linguard Jr. | 25 | 5-10 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | +3.1 |
| Junjie Wang | 20 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +4.0 |
| James O'Donnell | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1.0 |
| Veniamin Abosi | 11 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | +1.5 |
| Ro. Beasley | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Saba Gigiberia | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jason Rivera-Torres | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Drew Ardouin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 |
| Karl Poom | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 |
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Barrett | 35 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | +5.0 |
| Mitchell Saxen | 32 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 17 | +1.9 |
| Jordan Ross | 30 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 13 | +4.1 |
| Paulius Murauskas | 28 | 10-14 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 17 | +1.8 |
| Augustas Marciulionis | 23 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | +2.6 |
| Mikey Lewis | 17 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +2.5 |
| Ashton Hardaway | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +2.8 |
| Harry Wessels | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | -2.4 |
| Andrew McKeever | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.5 |
| Joshua Dent | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.5 |
| Cade Bennett | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.5 |
| Kevin Gad | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -5.6 |
* = starter