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2025-01-18

Model Predictions

Model Santa Clara Broncos Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 18.2% 81.8% -
Bradley-Terry 22.7% 77.3% -
Margin 8.2% 91.8% +13.3 (17.3 off)
Pythagorean 43.3% 56.7% -
Efficiency 42.9% 57.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 8.7% 91.3% -
Log Adjusted 8.4% 91.6% -
Points Off/Def 23.3% 76.7% -

Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs -4 (99-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Santa Clara Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Bryan 36 13-21 7-12 2-2 7 4 2 0 1 35 26 +25.2
A. Bal 35 7-15 4-10 2-2 1 4 1 0 4 20 7 +12.5
C. Tilly 29 7-9 1-1 2-2 4 1 0 0 1 17 12 +17.5
C. Stewart 29 2-5 1-3 3-4 2 2 0 0 3 8 4 +16.4
J. Ensminger 24 1-3 1-3 1-3 9 4 1 0 0 4 15 +11.1
J. O'Neil 16 2-4 1-3 0-2 3 0 1 0 1 5 4 +6.0
B. Knapper 11 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 3 3 +2.6
C. Tongue 9 3-4 2-2 3-4 5 0 0 1 0 11 13 +4.1
E. Mahi 9 0-4 0-2 0-0 1 3 0 0 2 0 -2 -2.6
B. Oboye 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -4.6

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Hickman 38 9-15 6-10 0-0 5 2 2 0 1 24 17 -5.1
R. Nembhard 36 5-8 1-3 5-8 4 15 3 0 1 16 29 -2.9
B. Gregg 29 5-5 1-1 2-2 8 5 3 1 0 13 25 -10.5
D. Stromer 26 1-6 1-5 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 3 1 -6.7
G. Ike 25 9-14 1-4 2-3 5 1 1 0 2 21 12 -14.1
K. Battle 20 0-4 0-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 0 -4 -16.7
M. Ajayi 16 0-2 0-1 6-8 2 1 0 1 1 6 7 +3.8
B. Huff 10 7-12 0-1 2-2 2 1 1 1 1 16 8 -9.6

* = starter