Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Mary's Gaels | Pepperdine Waves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 85.9% | 14.1% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 90.3% | 9.7% | - | β |
| Margin | 95.3% | 4.7% | -16.6 | β (7.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 71.1% | 28.9% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 71.1% | 28.9% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.6% | 4.4% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 95.6% | 4.4% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 81.7% | 18.3% | - | β |
Actual: Pepperdine Waves -24 (50-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Augustas Marciulionis | 34 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | +20.7 |
| Luke Barrett | 31 | 6-10 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | +17.7 |
| Paulius Murauskas | 27 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | +25.7 |
| Mitchell Saxen | 26 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13 | +8.3 |
| Jordan Ross | 22 | 5-8 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 12 | +6.8 |
| Ashton Hardaway | 18 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -2.1 |
| Mikey Lewis | 16 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | +20.6 |
| Harry Wessels | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 12 | +7.0 |
| Andrew McKeever | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.7 |
| Joshua Dent | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -6.7 |
| Cade Bennett | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -6.7 |
Pepperdine Waves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefan Todorovic | 36 | 6-17 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 9 | -7.9 |
| Moe Odum | 32 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -8.5 |
| Dovydas Butka | 32 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9 | -6.7 |
| Jaxon Olvera | 21 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | -12.1 |
| Boubacar Coulibaly | 21 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -11.5 |
| D. DoΕΎic | 19 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Zion Bethea | 10 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5 | -9.3 |
| Mike Saunders Jr. | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -9.5 |
| Alonso Faure | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -3.6 |
| Kyle Braun | 6 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +1.6 |
| Alex Leiba | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.4 |
| Taj Au-Duke | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.3 |
* = starter