๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2025-01-18

Model Predictions

Model Oregon State Beavers San Francisco Dons Spread Result
Elo 24.1% 75.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 20.1% 79.9% - โœ“
Margin 31.7% 68.3% +4.2 โœ“ (6.8 off)
Pythagorean 46.8% 53.2% - โœ“
Efficiency 46.8% 53.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 38.2% 61.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 38.1% 61.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 39.2% 60.8% - โœ“

Actual: San Francisco Dons +11 (81-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon State Beavers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Michael Rataj 36 6-13 0-1 6-9 6 2 2 0 2 18 13 -5.9
Liutauras Lelevicius 31 1-5 1-3 5-6 6 0 1 1 0 8 11 -4.9
Damarco Minor 31 6-11 0-2 0-0 6 2 1 0 2 12 8 -3.1
Nate Kingz 28 2-6 0-2 2-2 1 1 1 0 1 6 2 -2.0
Josiah Lake II 24 2-6 0-1 4-5 4 1 1 0 1 8 7 -6.4
Parsa Fallah 20 4-7 0-0 1-2 2 0 1 0 1 9 4 -2.2
Isaiah Sy 11 1-2 0-0 3-4 0 0 0 1 2 5 2 -0.9
Thomas Ndong 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 0 2 3 +0.0
Johan Munch 6 1-2 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 1 0 2 1 -1.0
Matthew Marsh 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -2.7
Gavin Marrs 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.0

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Malik Thomas 37 8-11 4-6 4-5 2 3 0 0 1 24 17 -1.7
Carlton Linguard Jr. 32 5-9 1-5 0-1 4 4 0 4 1 11 13 -1.3
Tyrone Riley IV 31 4-5 3-3 4-6 4 1 1 2 0 15 18 +6.5
Marcus Williams 25 8-12 4-5 1-1 1 5 1 0 3 21 13 +5.6
Veniamin Abosi 25 1-4 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 1 2 2 4 +7.0
Ryan Beasley 25 1-3 1-2 4-4 3 6 2 0 4 7 11 -
Junjie Wang 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.4
James O'Donnell 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +7.2
Jason Rivera-Torres 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Ro. Beasley 3 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
Saba Gigiberia 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -0.1

* = starter