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2025-01-16

Model Predictions

Model Gonzaga Bulldogs Oregon State Beavers Spread Result
Elo 79.4% 20.6% -
Bradley-Terry 72.7% 27.3% -
Margin 89.9% 10.1% -12.0 (20.0 off)
Pythagorean 52.6% 47.4% -
Efficiency 52.6% 47.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 91.0% 9.0% -
Log Adjusted 91.2% 8.8% -
Points Off/Def 73.9% 26.1% -

Actual: Oregon State Beavers +8 (97-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Nembhard 44 3-10 2-3 5-6 6 10 1 0 2 13 18 -23.0
K. Battle 39 4-13 1-7 6-6 2 1 3 0 3 15 5 -29.2
N. Hickman 35 4-11 3-8 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 11 5 -11.0
G. Ike 34 9-14 1-1 7-8 9 1 0 0 3 26 19 -14.6
B. Gregg 30 6-12 1-4 2-4 13 4 2 0 2 15 20 -25.5
D. Stromer 15 2-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 5 2 +2.5
M. Ajayi 15 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 0 0 3 +1.6
B. Huff 11 2-7 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 0 0 4 -1 -11.1
E. Innocenti 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -0.9

Oregon State Beavers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Minor 40 7-10 1-4 0-0 1 4 0 0 2 15 8 +22.6
N. Kingz 39 6-9 3-4 5-6 4 1 3 2 2 20 19 +31.1
M. Rataj 38 9-15 2-3 9-10 7 2 1 1 2 29 23 +22.4
J. Lake 34 1-2 0-0 9-10 4 3 3 0 0 11 19 +32.5
P. Fallah 33 6-11 0-0 4-9 5 0 0 1 2 16 9 +19.4
L. Lelevicius 23 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 2 5 +10.6
I. Sy 10 0-3 0-3 2-2 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -6.3
M. Marsh 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -3.6

* = starter