Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Mary's Gaels | San Diego Toreros | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 95.9% | 4.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 96.6% | 3.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 98.4% | 1.6% | -22.6 | ✓ (24.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 80.0% | 20.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 79.3% | 20.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.5% | 3.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.5% | 3.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 87.9% | 12.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego Toreros -47 (56-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Barrett | 31 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | +38.0 |
| Augustas Marciulionis | 28 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | +21.1 |
| Mitchell Saxen | 27 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 19 | +18.8 |
| Jordan Ross | 23 | 4-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | +22.5 |
| Paulius Murauskas | 22 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 19 | +14.1 |
| Mikey Lewis | 18 | 7-8 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 12 | +14.3 |
| Ashton Hardaway | 15 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | +12.4 |
| Harry Wessels | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | +16.6 |
| Joshua Dent | 9 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | +8.2 |
| Andrew McKeever | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | +7.8 |
| Cade Bennett | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +8.2 |
| Kevin Gad | 4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
San Diego Toreros
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Trouet | 27 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 3 | -33.8 |
| Tony Duckett | 26 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | -18.4 |
| Kody Clouet | 24 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | -13.0 |
| Bendji Pierre | 22 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -1 | -14.1 |
| Kean Webb | 22 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -10.0 |
| Joey Chammaa | 19 | 7-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 3 | -26.8 |
| Kjay Bradley Jr. | 18 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | -13.5 |
| Deven Dahlke | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | -10.1 |
| Colby Brooks | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -22.1 |
| Dominic Muncey | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -6.6 |
| Jackson Gaffney | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -0.7 |
* = starter