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2025-01-09

Model Predictions

Model Portland Pilots San Francisco Dons Spread Result
Elo 15.3% 84.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 6.8% 93.2% - โœ“
Margin 2.6% 97.4% +20.0 โœ“ (11.0 off)
Pythagorean 17.8% 82.2% - โœ“
Efficiency 17.8% 82.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 13.8% 86.2% - โœ“

Actual: San Francisco Dons +9 (81-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Max Mackinnon 38 11-15 2-4 4-4 4 2 2 0 2 28 19 -5.2
Austin Rapp 36 5-16 2-10 7-10 8 3 1 1 3 19 13 -1.7
Chris Austin 29 5-13 0-2 2-3 6 2 1 0 1 12 7 -5.7
Vincent Delano 28 2-6 0-2 0-1 3 3 1 0 2 4 3 -2.7
Bol Dengdit 27 1-5 1-3 2-2 6 1 0 0 0 5 7 -1.1
Mikah Ballew 17 2-4 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 4 2 -6.2
Vukasin Masic 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -7.0
Kelson Gebbers 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 +3.5
Jermaine Ballisager Webb 5 0-1 0-0 0-2 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -0.9

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Malik Thomas 35 5-12 2-4 7-7 3 4 2 0 1 19 15 +6.3
Junjie Wang 32 5-9 2-5 2-2 4 1 1 1 1 14 11 +5.4
Marcus Williams 30 8-12 1-4 0-0 3 4 3 2 5 17 12 +0.9
Carlton Linguard Jr. 26 6-11 2-3 0-1 6 1 0 0 1 14 9 -0.5
Tyrone Riley IV 24 4-7 0-2 0-0 6 2 0 0 1 8 8 -1.0
Ro. Beasley 18 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 1 +7.6
James O'Donnell 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 1 2 6 +3.2
Jason Rivera-Torres 14 1-5 1-2 1-2 5 0 0 0 0 4 4 +5.5
Veniamin Abosi 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 +1.8

* = starter