Model Predictions
| Model | Pepperdine Waves | Pacific Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.5% | 30.5% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.9% | 34.1% | - | β |
| Margin | 58.5% | 41.5% | -1.9 | β (15.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.2% | 32.8% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 67.2% | 32.8% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | β |
Actual: Pacific Tigers -17 (70-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Pepperdine Waves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Todorovic | 35 | 10-13 | 7-8 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 22 | +15.8 |
| M. Odum | 34 | 5-9 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 6 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 23 | +14.4 |
| D. Butka | 32 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 2-5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | +15.4 |
| B. Coulibaly | 31 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 13 | +15.2 |
| J. Olvera | 30 | 8-13 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 6 | +13.5 |
| D. DoΕΎic | 16 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| M. Saunders Jr. | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +4.9 |
| K. Braun | 7 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.8 |
| A. Faure | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.0 |
| T. Au-Duke | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -3.0 |
| D. Mager | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | -3.0 |
Pacific Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Washington | 39 | 3-12 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 4 | -14.4 |
| E. Fisher | 37 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 9-12 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 12 | -12.4 |
| E. Ralph | 32 | 6-12 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | -9.8 |
| P. Krivokapic | 26 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 13 | -5.6 |
| J. Koulibaly | 22 | 4-12 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | -16.9 |
| J. Gardner | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4.8 |
| K. Keinys | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -4.0 |
| B. Smith | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | +2.0 |
| C. Benton | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -6.8 |
| A. Campbell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.0 |
* = starter