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2025-01-02

Model Predictions

Model Portland Pilots Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 6.9% 93.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 5.8% 94.2% - โœ“
Margin 0.2% 99.8% +33.3 โœ“ (2.3 off)
Pythagorean 14.4% 85.6% - โœ“
Efficiency 14.4% 85.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 4.8% 95.2% - โœ“

Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +31 (81-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Austin Rapp 33 2-8 2-6 0-0 4 1 0 1 4 6 0 -8.8
Vincent Delano 30 6-16 0-4 0-0 4 2 1 1 2 12 2 -21.3
Mikah Ballew 22 2-10 1-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 5 -4 -14.0
Vukasin Masic 22 0-3 0-3 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 0 2 -16.6
Max Mackinnon 22 3-8 0-1 2-2 6 3 0 0 2 8 7 -11.9
Bol Dengdit 22 2-5 0-1 2-2 8 1 0 1 1 6 10 -10.2
Jermaine Ballisager Webb 12 2-2 1-1 0-2 1 0 0 1 1 5 4 -6.1
Mezziah Oakman 11 3-5 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 6 5 -11.2
Chris Austin 11 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -5 -7.2
Kelson Gebbers 6 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -7.4
Todd Jones 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 0 2 +3.0
Coleman Lemke 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 +5.0

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nolan Hickman 29 5-8 3-5 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 13 7 +10.0
Ryan Nembhard 28 4-7 2-3 0-0 4 9 2 1 2 10 17 +25.4
Dusty Stromer 28 5-9 2-5 0-0 2 0 1 1 1 12 6 +22.8
Khalif Battle 23 3-10 2-6 2-2 2 2 0 0 3 10 1 +5.1
Ben Gregg 22 2-4 0-1 3-4 9 2 4 0 1 7 17 +15.6
Braden Huff 19 4-8 0-1 2-4 4 3 0 1 0 10 10 +15.1
Michael Ajayi 18 1-7 0-0 3-4 15 2 1 0 0 5 16 +8.7
Graham Ike 16 3-11 1-2 2-2 5 2 2 0 0 9 7 +13.2
Emmanuel Innocenti 9 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 +0.0
Joe Few 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.1
J. Yeo 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter