Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Pilots | Oregon State Beavers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.8% | 82.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.3% | 96.7% | +18.6 | ✓ (8.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 17.9% | 82.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 17.9% | 82.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 15.9% | 84.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oregon State Beavers +10 (89-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Mackinnon | 29 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 | -9.9 |
| Austin Rapp | 27 | 7-12 | 5-10 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 16 | -12.9 |
| Bol Dengdit | 26 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -6.8 |
| Vincent Delano | 24 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | -12.9 |
| Vukasin Masic | 22 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | +5.0 |
| Mikah Ballew | 20 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | +1.0 |
| Jermaine Ballisager Webb | 17 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | -0.9 |
| Kelson Gebbers | 14 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -6.0 |
| Chris Austin | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -6.1 |
| Todd Jones | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +0.0 |
Oregon State Beavers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Rataj | 34 | 12-15 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 21 | +9.9 |
| Damarco Minor | 33 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +6.9 |
| Nate Kingz | 29 | 6-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 14 | +15.9 |
| Isaiah Sy | 28 | 5-8 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 14 | +10.9 |
| Liutauras Lelevicius | 26 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 14 | +10.0 |
| Parsa Fallah | 24 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | -3.0 |
| Josiah Lake II | 19 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +4.8 |
| Matthew Marsh | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.1 |
| DaJohn Craig | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
* = starter