Model Predictions
| Model | Pacific Tigers | Saint Mary's Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.5% | 97.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.3% | 97.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.8% | 99.2% | +26.8 | ✓ (16.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 14.9% | 85.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 11.7% | 88.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 8.1% | 91.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels +10 (70-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Pacific Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Washington | 40 | 5-17 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 9 | +4.2 |
| E. Fisher | 39 | 7-10 | 1-2 | 2-5 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 16 | +4.2 |
| E. Ralph | 38 | 8-16 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 9 | +0.2 |
| P. Krivokapic | 25 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +2.8 |
| J. Gardner | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | +10.4 |
| J. Koulibaly | 17 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +8.0 |
| B. Smith | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -12.7 |
| A. Campbell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Benton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +4.0 |
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Murauskas | 36 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 15 | +6.5 |
| L. Barrett | 35 | 9-15 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 23 | -0.7 |
| M. Saxen | 35 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 13 | +5.3 |
| A. Marciulionis | 35 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 14 | +9.3 |
| J. Ross | 28 | 4-11 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | +2.9 |
| M. Lewis | 15 | 1-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | -7.0 |
| J. Dent | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -4.1 |
| A. Hardaway | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -8.5 |
| A. McKeever | 3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -4.1 |
| H. Wessels | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2.3 |
| K. Gad | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Bennett | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -4.0 |
* = starter