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2024-12-28

Model Predictions

Model Pacific Tigers Saint Mary's Gaels Spread Result
Elo 2.5% 97.5% -
Bradley-Terry 2.3% 97.7% -
Margin 0.8% 99.2% +26.8 (16.8 off)
Pythagorean 14.9% 85.1% -
Efficiency 11.7% 88.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -
Points Off/Def 8.1% 91.9% -

Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels +10 (70-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pacific Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Washington 40 5-17 0-2 4-4 8 7 2 0 5 14 9 +4.2
E. Fisher 39 7-10 1-2 2-5 8 2 1 0 2 17 16 +4.2
E. Ralph 38 8-16 2-5 2-2 4 1 0 1 1 20 9 +0.2
P. Krivokapic 25 1-4 0-2 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 2 4 +2.8
J. Gardner 23 2-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 2 0 4 6 +10.4
J. Koulibaly 17 0-3 0-1 3-4 1 1 1 0 0 3 3 +8.0
B. Smith 16 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -12.7
A. Campbell 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Benton 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +4.0

Saint Mary's Gaels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Murauskas 36 3-11 0-2 4-5 13 2 0 2 1 10 15 +6.5
L. Barrett 35 9-15 2-6 0-1 10 5 2 1 0 20 23 -0.7
M. Saxen 35 5-10 0-0 2-6 10 1 0 1 1 12 13 +5.3
A. Marciulionis 35 3-7 1-4 2-3 3 11 0 0 2 9 14 +9.3
J. Ross 28 4-11 3-4 2-2 5 2 1 0 0 13 10 +2.9
M. Lewis 15 1-8 1-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 3 -1 -7.0
J. Dent 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -4.1
A. Hardaway 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -8.5
A. McKeever 3 1-3 0-0 1-3 3 0 0 0 0 3 3 -4.1
H. Wessels 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 -2.3
K. Gad 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Bennett 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -4.0

* = starter