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2024-12-28

Model Predictions

Model Washington State Cougars Portland Pilots Spread Result
Elo 38.9% 61.1% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 74.8% 25.2% - โœ“
Margin 83.4% 16.6% -8.9 โœ“ (7.1 off)
Pythagorean 69.6% 30.4% - โœ“
Efficiency 69.6% 30.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 87.6% 12.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 87.8% 12.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 68.2% 31.8% - โœ“

Actual: Portland Pilots -16 (73-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington State Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nate Calmese 32 8-14 2-3 0-0 7 5 2 0 4 18 14 +8.7
LeJuan Watts 31 4-8 3-3 3-4 8 3 0 1 1 14 17 +5.4
Ethan Price 30 8-11 4-6 2-2 7 5 1 0 4 22 20 +9.1
Dane Erikstrup 29 4-9 3-7 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 11 7 +12.4
Tomas Thrastarson 29 2-5 0-2 2-4 1 5 0 0 0 6 7 +5.5
Kase Wynott 20 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 3 1 -4.5
ND Okafor 18 5-7 0-0 2-3 4 2 0 2 3 12 10 +11.2
Parker Gerrits 11 1-3 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 3 2 -3.0

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Austin Rapp 34 3-10 1-6 10-10 6 4 1 3 2 17 19 -7.3
Max Mackinnon 29 9-16 0-1 4-4 5 3 1 0 1 22 14 -8.8
Vincent Delano 23 3-8 1-3 0-0 1 0 2 0 1 7 1 -3.6
Kelson Gebbers 19 2-6 2-5 0-0 2 0 2 0 0 6 4 +14.6
Bol Dengdit 18 2-3 1-1 0-0 3 2 1 1 1 5 8 +15.6
Chris Austin 16 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -11.6
Mikah Ballew 16 4-7 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 9 1 -2.6
Vukasin Masic 14 2-7 1-4 0-0 1 2 0 0 4 5 -3 +1.0
Jermaine Ballisager Webb 11 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 2 1 0 0 2 5 -20.8
Todd Jones 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 1 0 0 5 +4.2
Mezziah Oakman 10 0-1 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -17.7

* = starter