Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Valley Wolverines | Tarleton State Texans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.3% | 20.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.6% | 22.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 84.9% | 15.1% | -9.5 | ✓ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 79.7% | 20.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.1% | 9.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.2% | 9.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.4% | 30.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Tarleton State Texans -5 (66-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah Valley Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Toolson | 34 | 4-10 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | +15.8 |
| Dominick Nelson | 34 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 13-16 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 18 | +7.7 |
| Carter Welling | 27 | 5-8 | 1-4 | 7-10 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 17 | +14.5 |
| Trevan Leonhardt | 27 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | +11.3 |
| Cory Wells | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +14.4 |
| Ethan Potter | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -5.9 |
| Kylin Green | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -5.5 |
| Osiris Grady | 11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | +0.6 |
| Hayden Welling | 10 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | -0.8 |
| Jackson Holcombe | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4.5 |
| Noah Taitz | 8 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.4 |
Tarleton State Texans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freddy Hicks | 40 | 6-15 | 1-4 | 7-13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 16 | -7.6 |
| Bubu Benjamin | 39 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 11 | -7.7 |
| Izzy Miles | 32 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -7.0 |
| Dantwan Grimes | 31 | 4-13 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 2 | -5.7 |
| Keitenn Bristow | 21 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | -4.9 |
| Chris Mpaka | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 6 | -0.6 |
| Jordan Mizell | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -8.4 |
| Nick Krass | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter