Model Predictions
| Model | Grand Canyon Lopes | Abilene Christian Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.4% | 35.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.6% | 27.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 78.6% | 21.4% | -7.1 | ✗ (8.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.1% | 13.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.2% | 13.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Abilene Christian Wildcats +1 (82-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Grand Canyon Lopes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JaKobe Coles | 37 | 8-15 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 9 | -0.5 |
| Ray Harrison | 36 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 7-7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 9 | -2.4 |
| Duke Brennan | 32 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 15 | -17.5 |
| Collin Moore | 32 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | -10.9 |
| Makaih Williams | 31 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 4-8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 3 | -5.6 |
| Caleb Shaw | 22 | 4-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | -9.4 |
| Lok Wur | 21 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 12 | +7.4 |
| Styles Phipps | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | +9.6 |
Abilene Christian Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quion Williams | 42 | 6-16 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 7 | +3.3 |
| H. Madden | 37 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 17 | +4.5 |
| Bradyn Hubbard | 30 | 5-13 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 5 | +3.8 |
| Leonardo Bettiol | 29 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 2 | +13.6 |
| Rich Smith | 28 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | +6.3 |
| Nasir DeGruy | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +1.4 |
| Dontrez Williams | 12 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | +8.1 |
| Yaniel Rivera | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2.5 |
| Cade Hornecker | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -8.4 |
| Christian Alston | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Ma'Shy Hill | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +5.6 |
* = starter