Model Predictions
| Model | UT Arlington Mavericks | California Baptist Lancers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.8% | 76.2% | +6.4 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: California Baptist Lancers +2 (70-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UT Arlington Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brody Robinson | 35 | 2-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | +0.7 |
| Brandyn Talbot | 34 | 4-13 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | -1.1 |
| Raysean Seamster | 32 | 9-18 | 1-3 | 2-5 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 12 | -1.4 |
| Lance Ware | 26 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 10 | +1.6 |
| Diante Smith | 25 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | -9.0 |
| Jaden Wells | 19 | 4-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +10.3 |
| Darius Burford | 14 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | -7.9 |
| Cameron Jackson | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -6.2 |
| Jaxon Ellingsworth | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +3.0 |
California Baptist Lancers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominique Daniels Jr. | 36 | 8-25 | 2-9 | 6-8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 2 | +5.2 |
| Javonté Johnson | 33 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 14 | +10.2 |
| Tylen Riley | 31 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | -1.9 |
| Kendal Coleman | 29 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | +7.4 |
| Martel Williams | 25 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 3 | +1.5 |
| Sam Silverstein | 21 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -6.9 |
| Adam Moussa | 15 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +1.2 |
| Bradey Henige | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -5.7 |
| Jonathan Griman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
* = starter