Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Valley Wolverines | Abilene Christian Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.2% | 26.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 71.4% | 28.6% | -5.0 | ✓ (8.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.3% | 19.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.5% | 19.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Abilene Christian Wildcats -13 (60-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah Valley Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominick Nelson | 34 | 7-15 | 1-5 | 7-11 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 10 | +8.4 |
| Tanner Toolson | 34 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | +1.5 |
| Trevan Leonhardt | 27 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 12 | +6.0 |
| Osiris Grady | 25 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | +1.8 |
| Carter Welling | 17 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 5 | +2.1 |
| Jackson Holcombe | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | +12.7 |
| Ethan Potter | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | +2.7 |
| Kylin Green | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | +1.7 |
| Noah Taitz | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +7.1 |
| Hayden Welling | 8 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -3.1 |
| Cory Wells | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1.0 |
Abilene Christian Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradyn Hubbard | 31 | 7-15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 10 | -2.2 |
| H. Madden | 31 | 0-8 | 0-4 | 5-5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -0.3 |
| Quion Williams | 30 | 3-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | -5.0 |
| Leonardo Bettiol | 28 | 9-21 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 9 | -2.5 |
| Nasir DeGruy | 22 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | -8.4 |
| Rich Smith | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | +1.1 |
| Cade Hornecker | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| Christian Alston | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Dontrez Williams | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -9.4 |
| Yaniel Rivera | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -8.1 |
| Ma'Shy Hill | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jack Sawyer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Colby Tanner | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter