Model Predictions
| Model | Abilene Christian Wildcats | Tarleton State Texans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.6% | 42.4% | -1.7 | ✗ (16.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.2% | 31.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 67.2% | 32.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.1% | 29.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Tarleton State Texans +15 (67-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Abilene Christian Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quion Williams | 37 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +1.4 |
| H. Madden | 29 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -1.1 |
| Leonardo Bettiol | 27 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 1 | +0.5 |
| Bradyn Hubbard | 27 | 5-8 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | -0.9 |
| Rich Smith | 22 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | +1.4 |
| Yaniel Rivera | 16 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | +0.4 |
| Dontrez Williams | 12 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | -2.1 |
| Nasir DeGruy | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| Ma'Shy Hill | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
| Cade Hornecker | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +0.0 |
| Christian Alston | 5 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Jack Sawyer | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
| Colby Tanner | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
Tarleton State Texans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bubu Benjamin | 36 | 7-11 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 14 | +0.4 |
| Jordan Mizell | 36 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 12 | +0.4 |
| F. Hicks | 33 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 14 | +1.4 |
| Izzy Miles | 26 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -1.7 |
| D. Grimes | 24 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 2 | +1.2 |
| Keitenn Bristow | 24 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5 | +1.1 |
| Chris Mpaka | 21 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 9 | -0.9 |
| Joseph Martinez | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
* = starter