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2025-02-27

Model Predictions

Model California Baptist Lancers Seattle U Redhawks Spread Result
Elo 36.8% 63.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 47.9% 52.1% - ✓
Margin 31.7% 68.3% +4.2 ✓ (19.8 off)
Pythagorean 47.1% 52.9% - ✓
Efficiency 44.3% 55.7% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 40.9% 59.1% - ✓
Log Adjusted 40.6% 59.4% - ✓
Points Off/Def 41.2% 58.8% - ✓

Actual: Seattle U Redhawks +24 (72-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.

California Baptist Lancers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tylen Riley 31 4-9 1-3 5-7 2 0 1 1 2 14 7 -14.7
Javonté Johnson 29 1-4 1-4 0-0 7 2 0 0 1 3 7 -15.4
Kendal Coleman 27 3-7 2-4 0-0 6 2 0 0 4 8 5 -10.3
Mouhamadou Dioum 24 1-4 0-2 1-2 2 0 0 1 2 3 0 -16.6
Sam Silverstein 21 1-3 0-1 3-3 3 1 0 1 4 5 3 -6.4
Adam Moussa 20 1-6 1-5 2-2 2 1 2 0 3 5 1 -13.3
Martel Williams 18 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 2 -4 -9.8
AJ Braun 15 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 4 0 -14.9
Bradey Henige 12 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 1 -8.7
Jalen Dollar 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.8

Seattle U Redhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
John Christofilis 33 6-10 1-4 4-5 2 0 2 0 2 17 9 +13.3
Brayden Maldonado 31 2-4 2-4 2-3 4 1 2 0 0 8 11 +16.4
M. Moncrieffe 30 6-10 0-1 7-10 8 1 1 0 4 19 15 -
Paris Dawson 29 1-7 1-4 0-0 2 2 2 0 0 3 2 +16.1
Maleek Arington 27 3-4 0-0 1-1 0 4 5 0 1 7 11 +21.1
Kobe Williamson 22 4-7 0-0 4-4 6 0 1 1 3 12 10 +19.1
Houran Dan 16 3-6 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 6 1 +4.7
Will Heimbrodt 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +5.6
V. Rajković 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -0.0

* = starter